Election Prediction

Regrettably, I'm predicting that George W. Bush will win reelection by a 2-3 point margin in Tuesday's presidential election. No big analysis here, just laying my cards on the table.

I can't understand why anyone would still be unable to choose between these two candidates, but I think that when the undecided voters go into their voting booths, their hands hovering around the lever/stylus/touchscreen, they will go back and forth in their minds and ultimately decide out of fear and uncertainty that Bush will protect them better than Kerry. Polls that break down the likely voters by issue have shown that many more voters beleive that Bush is stronger on national seciurity than Kerry and that Bush has/will do better with the Iraq war, despite the damning evidence otherwise.